Research
Title : | Mathematical modelling of transmission dynamics of COVID-19 and its control |
Area of research : | COVID-19 Research, Life Sciences & Biotechnology, Mathematical Sciences |
Focus area : | Mathematical modelling for COVID-19 |
Principal Investigator : | Dr Mini Ghosh, Professor, Vellore Institute of Technology (VIT) University, Chennai |
Timeline Start Year : | 2020 |
Contact info : | minighosh@vit.ac.in |
Details
Executive Summary : | The study aims to understand (i) the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in different countries in the world; (ii) modeling the spread of COVID-19 in India and validation with data; (iii) understanding the impact of different control measures in the infection prevalence of this disease; (iv) impact of identification of hot-spot and subsequent quarantine measures on the control of COVID-19; (v) role of asymptomatic cases in the transmission dynamics of COVID-19: (vi) impact of delay in detection of COVID-positive cases in the infection prevalence of this disease. |
Outcome/Output: | An elaborate mathematical model for COVID-19 has been formulated. Estimation for the key parameters has been obtained using available data from different states of India. The time dependent control profiles of different controls to contain the disease in a specified duration of time is obtained. The model is fitted to the data for the states of Maharashtra, Delhi, Tamil Nadu and overall, India in the early stages of the disease. |
Organizations involved
Implementing Agency : | Vellore Institute of Technology (VIT) University, Chennai Funding Agency :Department of Science and Technology (DST), Govt of India | |